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Jan 22, 2010

Show 504 The Next 100 Years. Medved talks to author George Friedman.

From the publisher-  "Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long term shifts taking place in full view of the world." - George Friedman

 In his book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future -- offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the 21st century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century.

 The Next 100 Years draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era—with changes in store, including:

 •The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude—replaced by a second full-blown Cold War with Russia.

 •China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power.

 •A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia and the Far East, but armies will be much smaller and wars less deadly.

 •Technology will focus on space—both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications.

 •The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century.

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George Friedman is Chief Executive of STRATFOR, a private global intelligence firm he founded in 1996. Prior to joining the private sector, Friedman spent almost twenty years in academia, teaching political science at Dickinson College. During this time he also regularly briefed senior commanders in the armed services as well as the Office of Net Assessments, SHAPE Technical Center, the U.S. Army War College, National Defense University and the RAND Corporation on security and national defense matters. Friedman’s childhood was shaped directly by international conflict: he was born in Hungary to Holocaust survivors, his family fled Hungary when he was a child to escape the Communist regime, settling first in a camp for displaced persons in Austria and then immigrating to the United States. Friedman, who attended public schools in New York City, describes his family’s story as, “a very classic story of refugees making a new life in America.\" Friedman was an early designer of computerized war games. The Center was the only non-governmental organization that was at that time granted access to Joint Theater Level Simulation by the Joint Warfighting Center.

Friedman pursued political philosophy, with his early work focusing on Marxism, as well as international conflict, including examining the U.S.-Soviet relationship from a military perspective. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Friedman studied the potential for a U.S.-Japan conflict, in 1991 co-authoring The Coming War with Japan. He is also the author or coauthor of books examining topics as diverse as the Frankfurt School and warfare, including The Future of War, The Intelligence Edge and America’s Secret War.

He received a B.A. from the City College of New York, where he majored in political science, and a Ph.D. in Government from Cornell University.

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